The Millionaire Project

What happens when one fantasy-football player turns 100 DraftKings Best Ball entries into a documented experiment in probability, roster construction and conviction?

In The Millionaire Project, David Rogers records the thinking behind 2,000 player selections made for DraftKings' $20 Millionaire Best Ball contest-before the NFL season provides the answers. Instead of highlighting a few successful teams after the fact, he places the entire portfolio on the record: the promising rosters, uncomfortable compromises, repeated player convictions, missed stacks, changing information and strategies that may prove either insightful or painfully wrong.

Drawing on all 100 original drafts and three follow-up experiments, Rogers examines quarterback depth, running-back insurance, receiver spike weeks, unconventional tight-end strategies, stacking, player exposure and the allocation of only 20 valuable roster spots.

This is not a victory lap written with the benefit of hindsight. It is a preseason record of decisions made under uncertainty-and an honest test of whether disciplined probability can create an advantage in one of fantasy football's largest contests.

The drafting is finished. The arguments are on the record. Now the season gets to answer.